R6 — Market Risk Assessment

Know the risks in your target market — and what you can do to reduce your exposure — before you commit.

R6 assesses the principal risks of trading in your target market across six dimensions — political stability, economic and currency risk, trade policy and market access, payment and credit environment, sanctions and legal exposure, and regulatory volatility — and gives you a GREEN / AMBER / RED verdict with specific, actionable mitigations.

Can be commissioned at any stage — most valuable before first shipment or before committing to a significant new buyer relationship.

GREEN Risk manageable with standard precautions
AMBER Elevated risk — specific mitigations required
RED Significant risk — additional safeguards or specialist advice may be required before proceeding.
Price £350 Fixed price
Delivery 3 Working Days After your completed Questionnaire
Market Assessed One Market Six risk dimensions
Primary Output GREEN / AMBER / RED With specific mitigations
R6 Market Risk Assessment — approved four-stage risk assessment process

The R6 assessment process — from Questionnaire and live risk evidence to six-dimension scoring, traffic-light verdict and practical mitigation.

The Problem

Export risk is rarely a single factor. It is the combination that catches exporters out.

A market can look commercially attractive while carrying payment, currency or political risks that significantly change the picture. The problem is not that risks are unknown — it is that they are often often assessed only after a problem has already occurred.

Payment risk is underestimated

An open-account arrangement that works well in a familiar market may carry significant non-payment or delayed-payment risk in a new one — particularly where legal enforcement is slow, complex or costly.

Currency exposure is unplanned

Invoicing in a foreign currency without a clear currency-management approach exposes the exporter to margin erosion between contract and payment — sometimes over several months.

Political and regulatory change is not monitored

Import restrictions, sanctions, certification rule changes and political disruption can affect a market's accessibility with relatively little warning — particularly in markets exporters have not traded in before.

Risk factors interact

Payment risk is harder to manage when currency volatility is also elevated. Regulatory uncertainty makes operational planning more difficult when political conditions are also unstable. The combination often matters more than any single factor assessed in isolation.

Why R6 Is Different

R6 does not just identify risks. It rates them and tells you what to do about each one.

R6 may look similar to general country-risk reports and trade-information platforms, but it serves a different purpose.

General country risk information R6 Market Risk Assessment
Describes country risk in general terms Rates risk across six specific dimensions for your product and trading situation
No clear overall verdict GREEN / AMBER / RED verdict per dimension and overall
Identifies risks without mitigation guidance Specific, actionable mitigations recommended...
Macro-level political and economic information Assessment relevant to an SME exporter's actual trading exposure
Risk factors presented separately Interaction between risk dimensions considered and stated
Reader decides what the risk means for them Analyst conclusion on overall risk level and recommended approach
What You Receive

Three practical outputs. One risk-informed trading position.

R6 gives you a structured risk picture, a clear verdict, and the specific actions needed to trade with a clearer understanding of your exposure.

Output 01

Six-Dimension Risk Assessment

A structured assessment of the principal risks of trading in your target market — political stability, economic and currency risk, trade policy and market access, payment and credit environment, sanctions and legal exposure, and regulatory volatility — each scored on the R6 1–10 risk scale with the evidence and reasoning behind the score.

understand which risks are manageable, which require specific action, and which are significant enough to affect the commercial case for the market.

Output 02

Risk Mitigation Plan

Specific, practical risk mitigations recommended for each AMBER and RED-rated dimension — covering payment structures, currency arrangements, compliance steps, operational safeguards and reputational considerations relevant to your product and market.

act on the risk assessment rather than simply noting it — with specific steps attached to each risk that requires attention.

Output 03

Overall Risk Verdict & Trading Recommendation

The commercial conclusion — an overall GREEN, AMBER or RED market verdict, the analyst's recommendation on whether and how to proceed, conditions that should be met before trading, and risks that should be monitored as the trading relationship develops.

make a considered, evidence-informed decision on whether to proceed with the market and on what terms.

Six-Dimension Risk Assessment

Rate each risk

→

Risk Mitigation Plan

Act on each risk

→

Overall Verdict & Recommendation

Decide whether to proceed

Inside Each Output

What each component contains — and how you use it.

Output 01

Six-Dimension Risk Assessment

Each of the six risk dimensions is scored on the R6 1–10 risk scale and explained with the evidence and reasoning behind the score. The six weighted scores are combined into the overall GREEN / AMBER / RED market verdict, with interaction between dimensions noted where relevant.

  • Political stability & governance risk — stability, rule of law, policy reversal risk
  • Economic stability & currency risk — macroeconomic conditions, volatility, convertibility, repatriation
  • Trade policy & market access — origin/destination controls, import eligibility and corridor feasibility
  • Payment & credit environment risk — non-payment exposure, enforcement, debt recovery conditions
  • Sanctions & legal exposure — active and potential sanctions, legal restrictions on counterparties or flows
  • Regulatory volatility & compliance — registration, product treatment and changing import requirements
  • Evidence and reasoning stated for each factor score
  • Interaction between dimensions noted where the combination elevates overall risk
Commercial outcome You know which risks are manageable with standard practice, which require specific action, and which are significant enough to affect the commercial case for the market.
R6 sample — Executive Summary, six-dimension Market Risk Profile and RED verdict

Sample extract: the six weighted risk dimensions, composite 45.8/100 RED verdict, dominant risk and immediate action.

Output 02

Risk Mitigation Plan

The actionable part of R6. For each AMBER and RED-rated risk dimension, the Risk Mitigation Plan sets out what the exporter should do — specific steps, structures or safeguards to reduce or manage the exposure identified.

  • Political stability mitigations — political risk insurance, contract clauses, monitoring triggers
  • Economic & currency mitigations — forward contracts, USD/EUR invoicing, currency account structures
  • Trade policy mitigations — tariff monitoring, alternative sourcing structures, contingency planning
  • Payment & credit mitigations — advance payment, letter of credit, documentary collection, trade credit insurance
  • Sanctions & legal mitigations — legal review triggers, counterparty screening, restricted-flow controls
  • Regulatory compliance mitigations — certification steps, labelling controls, documentation management
  • Priority order — which mitigations to address before first shipment and which can follow
Commercial outcome You do not simply note the risks and proceed anyway. You have specific, sequenced steps to reduce your exposure before and during the trading relationship.
R6 sample — Risk Mitigation Recommendations

Sample extract: the eight principal controls required before a RED-rated corridor can move to a reversible pilot.

Output 03

Overall Risk Verdict & Trading Recommendation

The commercial conclusion that translates the six-dimension assessment into a clear trading recommendation. R6 brings the evidence together into a clear overall verdict and trading recommendation.

  • Overall market verdict — GREEN, AMBER or RED
  • Analyst recommendation — proceed, proceed with conditions, or seek further assessment
  • Conditions that should be met before first shipment
  • Risk factors that require ongoing monitoring as the trading relationship develops
  • Circumstances that would change the risk rating — triggers to watch for
  • Recommended next steps before committing to the market
Commercial outcome You make a considered, evidence-informed decision on whether to proceed with the market and on what commercial terms — rather than discovering the risk profile after the first problem occurs.
R6 sample — Market Verdict and Next Steps

Sample extract: the RED market verdict, recommended option and the conditions that would improve or deepen the verdict.

See what a market risk assessment looks like before you order.

Download the complete R6 sample to see the six-dimension risk assessment, weighted market-risk profile, mitigation controls, overall GREEN / AMBER / RED verdict and the conditions that determine whether the exporter should proceed, control exposure or defer commitment.

View Complete Sample R6 Report
The Methodology

How each risk dimension is assessed and rated.

Each of the six risk dimensions is scored consistently on the R6 1–10 risk scale — 8–10 = LOW risk, 5–7 = MODERATE, 1–4 = HIGH. The weighted factor scores are then combined into the overall GREEN / AMBER / RED market verdict, with interaction between dimensions considered and noted where relevant.

Dimension 01

Political Stability & Governance Risk

Government stability, institutional quality, rule of law and the risk of political disruption, policy reversal or governance failure that could affect trading conditions, contract enforceability or market access.

Dimension 02

Economic Stability & Currency Risk

Macroeconomic conditions, exchange-rate volatility, currency convertibility, repatriation restrictions and the broader financial environment — including inflation, banking system reliability and the implications for margin and cash management.

Dimension 03

Trade Policy & Market Access Risk

Tariff policy, import licensing, trade agreements, the risk of market access restrictions and the likelihood of trade-policy changes that could affect the cost or feasibility of exporting to this market.

Dimension 04

Payment & Credit Environment Risk

Non-payment and delayed-payment exposure — buyer default indicators, the strength of the legal enforcement environment, debt recovery conditions and the payment norms typical in this market.

Dimension 05

Sanctions & Legal Exposure

Active and potential sanctions exposure, legal risks associated with trading in or through this market, and any restrictions on counterparties, products or financial flows that could affect the legality or practicality of trading.

Dimension 06

Regulatory Volatility & Compliance Risk

The risk that product standards, certification requirements, labelling obligations or import compliance rules will change — and the current complexity and reliability of the regulatory environment for your product and HS code.

Risk ratings reflect the evidence available at the time of the assessment. Conditions change — an AMBER or GREEN rating does not guarantee that the market will remain at that level. R6 identifies triggers to monitor and recommends reassessment where conditions are volatile. Ratings represent an analyst judgement based on available evidence, not a guarantee of outcome.

Evidence & Quality

A risk assessment grounded in evidence — not generic country scores.

R6 draws on specialist country risk sources, financial and currency data, regulatory intelligence and established international trade-risk practices — and applies them to your specific trading situation rather than producing a generic country score.

Country Risk Sources

Specialist country risk intelligence covering political stability, payment environment, legal enforceability and sanctions — sourced from established risk-intelligence providers and official sources.

Currency & Financial Data

Exchange-rate history, volatility indicators, convertibility status and repatriation conditions from financial data sources relevant to the target market and currency.

Regulatory Intelligence

Import licensing, product compliance requirements and documentation obligations from official regulatory sources — assessed for your specific HS code and product in the target market.

Trade Risk Practice

Mitigation recommendations based on established international trade payment, currency management and operational risk practice — adapted to the specific risk profile identified in the assessment.

Anthony Wolff, Founder, TradeMatch Pro

Anthony Wolff

Founder — Four decades of international trade and credit intelligence

Every R6 report is personally reviewed before delivery. The review checks that risk ratings are consistent with the evidence cited, that the interaction between dimensions has been considered, and that the mitigations recommended are practical and proportionate to the risk level identified.

A country that scores GREEN on payment risk but RED on political risk requires a different risk management approach than one that scores AMBER across multiple dimensions. The review is designed to ensure that the overall verdict and trading recommendation reflect the risk picture as a whole.

The Investment Case

What £350 replaces.

The real comparison is not with the cost of a country risk report. It is with the cost of discovering the risk profile of a new market after the first problem has already occurred.

Assessing risk yourself

  • Researching payment norms and enforcement environment
  • Assessing currency volatility and convertibility
  • Checking active and potential sanctions exposure
  • Monitoring political and trade-policy developments
  • Identifying regulatory and compliance risks
  • Assessing operational and logistics reliability
  • Considering reputational and ESG factors
  • Rating each dimension and determining overall risk level
  • Identifying specific mitigations for each rated risk
  • Building a coherent trading recommendation from the findings

Using generic country scores

  • Overall country risk ratings — no dimension-level breakdown
  • Macro indicators — not specific to your trading exposure
  • No mitigation guidance — reader determines what to do
  • No product-specific regulatory assessment
  • No interaction between risk dimensions considered
  • No commercial trading recommendation

R6 — £350

  • Six-dimension risk assessment with GREEN / AMBER / RED ratings
  • Specific mitigations for each AMBER and RED risk
  • Overall market verdict and trading recommendation
  • Risk interaction considered and noted
  • Conditions for trading and triggers to monitor
  • Product- and market-specific regulatory assessment
  • Personal review before delivery
  • Delivered in three working days
  • One revision if the report materially fails to meet the agreed scope

R6 does not eliminate risk or guarantee trading outcomes. It gives you a structured, evidence-based risk picture so that you enter the market knowing what you are taking on — and with specific steps to reduce your exposure before and during the trading relationship.

Is R6 Right For You?

Who R6 is for — and who it is not.

R6 is the right choice when you:

  • Are preparing to trade in a new market and want a structured risk assessment before committing
  • Are uncertain about the payment, currency or political risk profile of your target market
  • Want specific, actionable mitigations rather than a generic country risk rating
  • Are about to commit to a significant new buyer relationship and want to understand the risk exposure
  • Want to know what conditions should be met and what to monitor as the relationship develops
  • Are an export consultant assessing market risk for a client

R6 is not the right fit when you:

  • Need formal legal advice on sanctions compliance — seek specialist legal counsel
  • Need a formal credit assessment of a specific buyer — use a trade credit insurance or credit intelligence service
  • Need a formal currency hedging recommendation — consult your bank or a treasury adviser
  • Need a real-time risk monitoring service — R6 is a point-in-time assessment, not a monitoring subscription
  • Want risk assessment across multiple markets under one standard R6 fee
The Process

From Questionnaire to risk-informed trading position in three working days.

1

You complete the Questionnaire

Tell us your product, HS code, target market, export origin, proposed payment terms if decided, and any specific risk concerns you already have. The Questionnaire is designed to take approximately 10–15 minutes to complete.

2

We assess and rate

We research and assess all six risk dimensions for your product and market, apply the R6 1–10 factor scoring framework and weighted GREEN / AMBER / RED verdict, identify the interaction between dimensions, and develop specific mitigations for the risks requiring action. The overall verdict and trading recommendation are reviewed before delivery.

3

You receive three practical outputs

The Six-Dimension Risk Assessment, Risk Mitigation Plan and Overall Risk Verdict & Trading Recommendation are delivered to you by email within three working days of receiving your completed Questionnaire.

Scope & Limitations

What R6 covers — and what it does not.

One market, one productR6 covers one target market and one agreed product and HS code. Delivered within three working days of your completed Questionnaire. One revision if the report materially fails to meet the agreed scope.

Point-in-time assessmentRisk conditions change. R6 is an assessment of the risk profile at the time of the report. It identifies triggers to monitor — but it is not a real-time risk monitoring service. Re-assessment is recommended if conditions change materially before or during trading.

Not formal legal or sanctions adviceR6 identifies sanctions exposure and regulatory risks based on available sources. It does not constitute formal legal advice on sanctions compliance. Where active sanctions exposure is identified, specialist legal counsel should be sought before trading.

Not a buyer credit assessmentR6 assesses market-level payment risk — the payment environment, enforcement conditions and structural payment risks in the target market. It does not assess the creditworthiness of a specific buyer. Formal buyer credit assessment requires a separate service.

Not a currency hedging recommendationR6 assesses currency risk and explains mitigation options. It does not provide a formal hedging recommendation. Currency management decisions should be made in consultation with your bank or a treasury adviser with knowledge of your specific financial position.

Ratings are analyst judgementsGREEN, AMBER and RED ratings represent an analyst conclusion based on available evidence. They are not guaranteed outcomes and do not eliminate the risks identified. They provide a structured basis for commercial decision-making.

Commission R6

Know your risks before you trade. Delivered in three working days.

£350

One market · One product and HS code

  • Six-Dimension Risk Assessment — GREEN / AMBER / RED ratings with evidence and reasoning
  • Risk Mitigation Plan — specific actions for each AMBER and RED-rated risk
  • Overall Risk Verdict & Trading Recommendation — conditions, triggers and next steps
  • Risk interaction between dimensions considered and noted
  • Delivered within three working days of your completed Questionnaire
  • One revision if the report materially fails to meet the agreed scope
  • Personal review by Anthony Wolff before delivery
  • Your Questionnaire handled confidentially and used only for purposes necessary to produce and deliver your report

Your card is authorised at checkout but not charged until we confirm we can deliver. If we can't, nothing is taken. Your Questionnaire is sent once we've confirmed we're going ahead.

Common Questions

Answers to the questions that matter before ordering.

GREEN means the risk is manageable with standard precautions — no exceptional measures are required for this dimension. AMBER means the risk is elevated and specific mitigations are recommended before or during trading. RED means the risk is significant and requires careful consideration and appropriate mitigation before proceeding. — potentially with specialist advice — before committing to the market. The overall market verdict is determined by the combination of dimension ratings, not by the highest individual rating alone.
No. R6 assesses market-level payment risk — the payment environment, legal enforceability of contracts, debt recovery conditions and structural payment risks in the target market. It does not assess the creditworthiness of an individual buyer. Formal buyer credit assessment requires a separate trade credit intelligence or credit insurance service.
No. R6 identifies sanctions exposure and regulatory risks based on available sources. Where active sanctions exposure is identified, the report will flag this clearly and recommend that specialist legal counsel is sought before trading. R6 does not constitute a formal legal opinion on sanctions compliance.
Risk ratings are based on the evidence available at the time of the assessment. R6 identifies triggers — conditions that would change the risk rating — and recommends reassessment where market conditions are volatile. It is not a real-time monitoring service, and conditions can change. We recommend verifying the risk picture again before any significant trading commitment if conditions in the market have shifted materially.
Yes. R6 is useful at any stage — before selecting a market, before committing to entry, before the first shipment, or before committing to a significant new buyer relationship. It is most valuable when you are about to make a commercial commitment and want a structured risk picture before doing so. It can also be commissioned alongside R2, R4 or R5 to build a more complete picture.
No. R6 explains currency risk, describes the mitigation options available — forward contracts, USD or EUR invoicing, currency account structures — and explains which types of mitigation may be appropriate to consider... This better matches the disclaimer that R6 is not formal treasury advice. for the risk level identified. It does not recommend specific financial products or providers. Currency management decisions should be made in consultation with your bank or a treasury adviser.
Yes. Your product, target market, Questionnaire and all information you provide are handled confidentially and used only for purposes necessary to produce and deliver your report. Information is shared only with service providers required for that purpose, subject to appropriate confidentiality and data-protection safeguards.
You receive a Questionnaire once we've confirmed we can deliver your report. Once you return it, we begin the risk assessment. The three R6 outputs are sent to you by email within three working days of receiving your completed Questionnaire.
Occasionally the Questionnaire doesn't give us quite enough detail to proceed — if so, we'll come back to you with specific questions rather than declining outright. If, after that, we still can't produce a report to the standard you're paying for — for example, because there isn't sufficient trade data available for that specific product and market, or the product or market is too narrowly defined to analyse meaningfully — no payment is taken. Your card authorisation is released in full. We'll explain why and, where possible, suggest an alternative market, product angle, or report that would work better for your situation. If you'd like to proceed with an alternative, you place a new order — nothing carries over automatically from the original attempt.

Know what you are taking on before you commit.

Commission R6, view the sample, or ask us a question before ordering.